Analysis of Debris Flow Susceptibility and Development Trends in High-Altitude Cold Mountainous Areas Based on the Quantitative Scoring Method
基于量化评分法的高寒山区泥石流易发程度与发展趋势分析

摘要

运用量化的手段来研究高寒山区泥石流易发程度及时空分布的规律。根据系统的、科学的指标体系，将地形地质、 气候条件以及生态保护等各方面数据进行综合，使用分层评分法评定区域泥石流灾害风险等级。利用历史监测数据和 生态变化趋势，对泥石流事件未来的发展趋向做预测分析。研究成果给该地区灾害防控给予精确的数据支撑与理论 根据。

Abstract

 This paper uses quantitative methods to study debris flow susceptibility and the spatial-temporal distribution patterns of debris flow disasters in high-altitude cold mountainous areas. Based on a systematic and scientific indicator system, data on topography and geology, climatic conditions, ecological protection, and other factors are comprehensively integrated, and the hierarchical scoring method is used to evaluate regional debris flow disaster risk levels. By using historical monitoring data and ecological change trends, the future development trends of debris flow events are predicted and analyzed. The research findings provide accurate data support and theoretical basis for disaster prevention and control in the region.